Potential impacts of climate change on food systems and food security, and possible adaptive responses 14 table 2. The implications of climate change on food security in nigeria. Although estimates of food insecurity vary barrett, 2010, the number of undernourished people already exceeds 1 billion and feeding this many people will require more than incremental changes federoff et al. Yield changes by crop as a result of climate change, 2050, subsaharan africa percent change 11 10. Pdf climate change and food security in africa researchgate. Climate change will have a gr eat impact on southern africa according to the ipcc.
Keywords climate change impacts vulnerability subsaharan africa introduction africa has been identi. Aug 11, 2017 this article aims to examine the impact of climate change on food security in south africa. The african continent is one of the regions of the world where climate change and food insecurity have a more dramatic impact. Pdf climate change and food security in west asia and north. The challenge in africa climate projections for africa ipcc 2007 include a likely average temperature increase of 1. Food security remains a challenge in subsaharan africa where the proportion.
The most direct effect and well researched component of climate change on food. This article aims to examine the impact of climate change on food security in south africa. Climate change impacts on food security in subsaharan africa. Assuming even moderate temperature rises, warming and drying could reduce crop yields by 10 20 percent by 2050 in africa. The aim is to provide country offices with a good evidence base and specific guidance on activities, barriers and opportunities for integrating climate change and climate smart agriculture approaches within the. It shows how the main economic activities are affected by climate change as well as discusses the concept of. The report also connected climate change to rising food prices and political instability, for instance the riots in asia and africa after food price shocks in 2008. Climate impact studies on crops predominate, but impacts on fisheries and livestock production are no less serious creighton et al. A thriving agricultural sector in a changing climate. It was developed as a background document for the eighth informal nordicafrican foreign ministers meeting copenhagen, 1112 march 2009. Africa is the region with greatest risk of increased hunger and threatened livelihoods due to climate change. But in just the past few years, the language of climate change has shifted once again. Sustainable food security in a world of growing population and changing diets is a major challenge under climate change. Assessing the potential effects of climate change on food security requires.
The impact of climate change on food security in south. Climate change, food security and agricultural productivity in africa. West africa has been identified as a climate change hotspot, with climate change likely to lessen crop yields and production, with resultant impacts on food security. Pdf the impacts of climate change on food security and. Impact of climate change on agriculture in africa by 2030 josephine khaoma w. Africa ssa is expected to be greater than the global average, and rainfall will decline in certain areas. Food prices and the food security situation in africa. The use of organic fertilizers and shortduration maize varieties promote maize productivity and food security. Climate change adaptation strategies, productivity and. Impact of climate change on agricultural systems in africa. Increases in temperature, climate changeinduced natural disasters and scarcity of safe drinking wa. The impacts of climate change on crop yield can already be detected in observed data lobell et al. Climate change has a lot of implications on food security in nigeria. We conclude that building farmers adaptive capacity tends to reduce their vulnerability to climate change by increasing crop yields and food security.
West africa has been identified as a climatechange hotspot, with climate change likely to lessen crop yields and production, with resultant impacts on food security. Pdf the impacts of climate change on food security and health in. Under climate change, maize, rice, and wheat prices in 2050 are projected to be 4, 7, and 15 percent higher than under the historic climate scenario. This study aims to fill this gap through a partial equilibrium modelling approach in order to provide high. Climate change impacts on food security in subsaharan. Calorie availability by agroecological zone, subsaharan africa, 2000 and 2050, climate change and no climate change scenarios kilocalories per capita per day 9 9. For this purpose, the article adopted a desktop study approach.
Special focus on climate africa food security change impacts. The impact of climate change on food security in south africa. Af 23 submitted by james adejuwon department of geography, obafemi awolowo university, ileife, nigeria 2006 published by the international start secretariat. It affects food production directly through changes in agroecological conditions and indirectly by affecting growth and distribution of incomes, and thus demand for agricultural produce. Evaluate climate change perception, and identify on a general scale emerging indigenous agricultural innovations in the study area. The impacts of climate change on food security and health. Climatesmart agriculture csa can play an important role in addressing the interlinked challenges of food security and climate change. Climate change is now being recast as a threat to international peace and security. Exploring the impact of climate change on children in south. Meeting malabo declaration goals through climatesmart agriculture.
Climate change, agriculture and food security ccafs. The effects of climate change on agriculture and food. Compared to historic climate scenarios, climate change will lead to changes in yield and area growth, higher food prices and therefore lower affordability of food. Th e actual and potential impacts of climate change in africa are large and wide ranging, aff ecting many aspects of peoples everyday lives. Mar 31, 2014 the report also connected climate change to rising food prices and political instability, for instance the riots in asia and africa after food price shocks in 2008. Apr 16, 2019 literatures indicate climate components like temperature, precipitation, co2 concentration and extreme climate events have an effect on food security components. Climate change is impacting food security in west africa. The report, mapping hotspots of climate change and food insecurity in the global tropics, was produced by the cgiar research program on climate change, agriculture and food security ccafs. Climate change and challenges of water and food security. Previous studies, reports, surveys and policies on climate change and food insecurity.
The impacts of climate change on agriculture and food security may be felt primarily through. Concepts and relationships the drivers and patterns of observed and pre. Previous studies, reports, surveys and policies on climate change and food in security. Two closely related topics, food security and health will be affected by the changes in many ways. Employment in agriculture as share of total employment, by. Increases in temperature, climate change induced natural disasters and scarcity of safe drinking water due to droughts are major contributors to the spread. Sub saharan africa is one of the most severely affected regions to climate change where most of the population is dependent on climate sensitive economic activities. To improve food security in west africa, sustained commitment 37 to investment in the agriculture sector will be needed to provide some protection against 38 global swings in both production and world markets. Markets, climate change and food security in west africa. Climate change, food security, and livelihoods in subsaharan. Water and food security are the key challenges under climate change as both are highly vulnerable to continuously changing climatic patterns. Studies have predicted that the average global temperature may increase by 1. The food security and climate change teams work in africa. It shows how the main economic activities are affected by climate change as well as discusses the concept of food security and its four pillars.
Evaluate indigenous agricultural innovation and good practices suitable for climate. Many climate models predict negative impacts of climate change on agricultural production and food security in large parts of subsaharan africa ssa. Gender and climate change africa gender, climate change and food security 2 policy brief 4 agriculture is central to the livelihoods of women it is now widely acknowledged that climate change impacts will not be genderneutral. Climate change implications for food security and natural. Food security, climate variability and climate change in. Climate change i climate change impacts, vulnerability and adaptation in zimbabwe i iied climate change working paper no. We have a strong and rapidly growing presence in africa. The intergovernmental panel on climate change ipcc1, and the united nations framework convention. The questions for this chapter are how far climate and its. Agricultural innovations and adaptations to climate change. Two closely related topics, food security and health. Pdf climate change, food security and agricultural. Changes in climate trends are already affecting livelihoods and food security in the sahel and west africa, according to new evidence released on 5 december at the united nations climate change conference cop17 in durban, south africa. Mar 19, 2020 the use of organic fertilizers and shortduration maize varieties promote maize productivity and food security.
Reducing risks to food security from climate change is one of the major challenges of the 21st century. Assessing impacts and opportunities draft document 4 about the global alliance for the future of food the global alliance for the future of food is a unique collaboration of philanthropic foundations that have. Food security is diminished when food systems a addition to climate change and non availability of food. Exploring the impact of climate change on children in. The current climate change situation in africa franklyn lisk 8 climate change and health. Climate change impacts, vulnerability, and adaptation iva researchers addressing climate change iva have studied issues related to food security using several approaches. The map below shows the global distribution of risks associated with main agricultural production systems. Impacts across sectors are likely to amplify the overall effect but remain little understood. Yield changes by crop as a result of climate change, 2050.
Potential impacts of climate change on food security in mali fao. Introduction this paper seeks to discuss the main issues in climate change discourse emphasising on how they implicate agriculture and food security in africa. Climate change and food security in west asia and north africa. Climate change, food security, and livelihoods in sub. Food security encompasses food availability, food accessibility and food utilization. Food security, climate variability and climate change in sub saharan west africa a final report submitted to assessments of impacts and adaptations to climate change aiacc, project no. Food demand is projected to rise by at least 20 percent globally over the next 15 years, with the largest increases anticipated in subsaharan africa, south asia and east asia. Dec 03, 2014 chapter 7, food security and food production systems, details the current effects of climate change, the expected decline in crop production by 2030 as a result of climate change, and what farmers can do to mitigate some of the negative impacts. Food security in a changing climate the solutions journal. By 2080 the effects of climate changeon heat waves, floods, sea level rise, and droughtcould push an additional 600 million people into malnutrition and increase the number of people facing water scarcity by 1. Impacts of droughts on livestock numbers in selected african countries, 1981 to 1999 22 table 3.
Climate change and food security food security underlies all the components of human development because without adequate food, one cannot live a long and healthy life, be educated and knowledgeable, have a decent standard of living and participate in community life with dignity and selfrespect undp, 2012. The impacts of climate change on food security and health in. Reducing risks to food security from climate change. But natural capital is being depleted at unprecedented rates and climate change could severely cut food production, especially in the worlds most food insecure regions. This is evident from current experiences of extreme climatic events such as droughts and floods. A final report submitted to assessments of impacts and.
This is evident from current experiences of extreme climatic events such as. An issue with great potential for exacerbating health inequities in africa nelson sewankambo 16 climate change and food security in africa john david kabasa and irene sage 21 climate change and conflict in africa dennis g. Compared to historic climate scenarios, climate change will lead to changes in yield and area growth, higher food prices and therefore lower affordability of food, reduced calorie availability, and growing childhood malnutrition in subsaharan africa. Climate change and food security impacts on food production and availability. Impact of climate change on primary agriculture, water. The project security implications of climate change in the sahel region, coordinated by the sahel and west africa club secretariat oecd, aimed to increase understanding on the linkages between climate change and security in the sahel and on how climate change could contribute to insecurity. Climate change a threat to security, food and humankind. Food security is a measure of the availability of food and individuals ability to access it. Impacts of climate change on food security learners notes 3 agricultural systems will need to cope with new stresses and risks. Climate change impacts, vulnerability and adaptation in. Pdf climate change and food security in west asia and. Chapter 7, food security and food production systems, details the current effects of climate change, the expected decline in crop production by 2030 as a result of climate change, and what farmers can do to mitigate some of the negative impacts.